1. From the Gut - 2: Upset/Toss-up Rules - 3. Final Four/Champ Rules
4. Combined PASE - 5. Factor PASE - 6. Pythag Efficiency
7. Pythag and Coaching PASE - 8. Pulse Check Stats - 9: Seed Matchups
10: Outcome Match - 11: Contrarian - 12: Keeper Bracket
Team Stats (Members Only) - Printable Bracket - Historical Brackets
Get started with your 2012 bracket strategy today!
Final Four/Champ Rules model - Use the rules identified in the "Picking your Final Four and champion" article: 1) Automatically advance top seeds three rounds, two seeds two rounds, and three and four seeds one round; 2) determine your Final Four and champion based the conditions outlined in the article and fill them into your bracket; 3) advance any other Final Four qualifiers as far as possible; and 4) use upset/toss-up rules for all remaining matchups
Pulse Check model - After advancing one seeds two rounds and two, three and four seeds one round, I analyze teams based on 14 key stats that will be featured on the blog. In remaining matchups, I advance the team with fewer disqualifiers. When two teams are tied, I advance the lower seeded team on the assumption that a) any higher seed with that many disqualifiers has issues, and b) this is supposed to be a crazy dance, darn it...so let's have at it. From the Sweet 16 on, if the two teams are within two disqualifiers of each other, I knock off the team whose worse disqualifier yields the lowest PASE. For instance, one seeds like Kentucky that didn't go to the previous dance are -.869 PASE underachievers. Meanwhile, West Virginia's worst disqualifier, shooting lower than .450 from the field, only yields a -.440 PASE for two seeds.
Upset/Tossup - Resolve all games with the Upset and Toss-up rules defined in the two series under "Feature Articles"; only allow upsets if the conditions yield better than 50 percent odds of the Cinderella winning. Caution: Because this strategy allows more upsets, its results are volatile.
You'll have to wait until Selection Sunday before all these models get unveiled. But you can get started forming your 2012 bracket strategy today by figuring out which Bracket Building Attack Plan suits you best.-->