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Coaching ups, downs
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ptiernan
Pete Tiernan
Ann Arbor, MI
Editor (Nov 2006)
567 comments posted


  4 years ago   (3/24/10 7:23 pm)   
 
2010 tourney successes and failures will change the coaching PASE race:

With all the big upsets in the 2010 tourney, several coaches will see their overall PASE ratings make correspondingly big moves—both positively and negatively. The biggest PASE decliners will be John Thompson III, Kevin Stallings, Jay Wright, Bill Self and Mike Brey.

Before ... more »

gjd4

Madison, WI
Member (Mar 2010)
45 comments posted


  4 years ago   (3/25/10 11:33 am)   
 
Pete,

I really appreciate all the number crunching you provide.

One question I have with the PASE numbers is that it is purely based on the premise that the initial seedings, but does not take into account (at least that I am aware) what the actual matchups are after the first round. I will do some digging and get back to you with an actual example where the numbers might look different.

Gary

gjd4

Madison, WI
Member (Mar 2010)
45 comments posted


  4 years ago   (3/25/10 11:44 am)   
 
Pete, here is the information on
Wisconsin Bo Ryan
2009 12 seed win over 5 seed, lost to 4 seed
Pase +1 Performance against seed match- ups +1

2008 3 seed wins over 14 seed & 11 seed, lost to 10 seed
Pase 0 Performance against seed match- ups - 1

2007 2 seed win over 15 seed, lost to 7 seed
Pase - ... more »

ptiernan
Pete Tiernan
Ann Arbor, MI
Editor (Nov 2006)
567 comments posted


  4 years ago   (3/25/10 6:17 pm)   
 
Interesting approach, but it's not really how I calculate PASE. It's true that I don't necessarily look at opponents. But I assume that a team that's a six seed ought to win 1.22 games in a tourney, because the 100 six seeds before them have accomplished the feat, irrespective of their seed opponents. In the case of Bo Ryan, I think ... more »

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