Early Excel sheet posted; models coming throughout the night:

I just posted the preliminary Excel sheet. It has all the stats you'll need except the RPI and SOS values (waiting for the NCAA update) and the All- American information. That's coming tomorrow, when the US Basketball Writers Association announces their picks. If you absolutely need the Excel sheet tonight, go ahead and grab it. But the final sheet with all the stats (and any fixes I might come across) will get posted tomorrow.

As for the models, I'm starting to post them. My "gut" model will be up soon- - and it's a snoozy affair...a few upsets in the first two rounds, but landing on Kansas, Kentucky, Kansas State and Baylor (my only flyer). It will be interesting to see what the statistically- based models come up with.

One new feature: I'm creating printable PDFs for all the models to help those of you who've asked for some way to print these off. ... more » « less

Early Excel sheet posted; models coming throughout the night: I just posted the preliminary Excel sheet. It has all the stats you'll need except the RPI and SOS values (waiting for the NCAA update) and the All- American information. That's coming tomorrow, when the US Basketball Writers Association announces their picks. If you absolutely need the Excel sheet tonight, go ahead and grab it. But the final sheet with all the stats (and any fixes I might come across) will get posted tomorrow. As for the models, I'm starting to post them. My "gut" model will be up soon- - and it's a snoozy affair...a few upsets in the first two rounds, but landing on Kansas, Kentucky, Kansas State and Baylor (my only flyer). It will be interesting to see what the statistically- based models come up with. One new feature: I'm creating printable PDFs for all the models to help those of you who've asked for some way to print these off.

Pete,

If you made corrections can you note that so people who pull the spreadsheet tonight can easily change just those cells?

TJH

Pete, If you made corrections can you note that so people who pull the spreadsheet tonight can easily change just those cells? TJH

Pete:

you da man!!! thanks for giving us the PDF printable option. I am one of your earliest subscribers and have been bugging you.

Pete: you da man!!! thanks for giving us the PDF printable option. I am one of your earliest subscribers and have been bugging you.

timhust - I will certainly update everyone if I have to change a number. Hopefully, it will just be adding RPI, SOS and All- American. Though last year, I got the tourney apps of one of the 16 seed coaches wrong. Stuff happens.

timhust - I will certainly update everyone if I have to change a number. Hopefully, it will just be adding RPI, SOS and All- American. Though last year, I got the tourney apps of one of the 16 seed coaches wrong. Stuff happens.

Is the PDF link working? I clicked on this and it took me back to the homepage. Thanks.

Is the PDF link working? I clicked on this and it took me back to the homepage. Thanks.

I'm new to this, but am a firm believer after using your criteria to pick the Cleveland State upset last year.

I noticed you don't have Oakland winning in your upset special. Don't both they and Pitt meet the criteria?

I'm new to this, but am a firm believer after using your criteria to pick the Cleveland State upset last year. I noticed you don't have Oakland winning in your upset special. Don't both they and Pitt meet the criteria?

Pete - Was there any change in the champ list now that the season is over? The last 4 you posted were Kansas, Duke, Syracuse and Maryland. Thanks.

Pete - Was there any change in the champ list now that the season is over? The last 4 you posted were Kansas, Duke, Syracuse and Maryland. Thanks.